State Averages for President

This page contains the current averages for each state for both the presidential race and senatorial race (if there is one), calculated using our algorithm. It is worth noting that our average may differ from other published averages (RCP, 538, HP, TPM, etc.) because each site has a different algorithm. Some average the most recent 3 or 4 or some other number of polls, no matter how old they are. Others use time as the primary criterion for inclusion or not. Also, different sites use different polls. We try to rigorously exclude polls from firms that are basically campaign consultants, that is, whose business model is to help elect candidates. Not everyone excludes these. All these differences in methodology can lead to different results.

State Democrat Dem % Republican GOP % Lead End date
Alabama Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Alaska Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Arizona Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Arkansas Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
California Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Colorado Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Connecticut Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
D.C. Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Delaware Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Florida Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Georgia Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Hawaii Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Idaho Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Illinois Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Indiana Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Iowa Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Kansas Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Kentucky Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Louisiana Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Maine Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Maryland Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Massachusetts Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Michigan Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Minnesota Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Mississippi Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Missouri Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Montana Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Nebraska Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Nevada Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
New Hampshire Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
New Jersey Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
New Mexico Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
New York Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
North Carolina Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
North Dakota Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Ohio Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Oklahoma Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Oregon Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Pennsylvania Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Rhode Island Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
South Carolina Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
South Dakota Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Tennessee Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Texas Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Utah Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Vermont Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Virginia Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Washington Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
West Virginia Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Wisconsin Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03
Wyoming Biden 0% Trump 0% +0% Nov 03