Dem
51
GOP
49
Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin are still statistical ties. We believe that more than some other recent polls showing Trump with substantial leads in some of these states. The differences could be due to methodology, shy voters, or just bad luck.
| State | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Michigan | 51% | 49% | Apr 19 | Apr 25 | YouGov |
| Pennsylvania | 49% | 50% | Apr 19 | Apr 25 | YouGov |
| Wisconsin | 49% | 50% | Apr 19 | Apr 25 | YouGov |