Dem
51
GOP
49
For what it's worth, the four "northern" states that Joe Biden needs—Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania—generally tend to be within a couple of points of each other once all the votes are counted. So, a 4-point win in Minnesota somewhat implies a close win in the Electoral College for the President. That said, to actually predict a presidential election based on one state-level poll in June is insanity, so we wouldn't recommend it. (Z)
| State | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Minnesota | 45% | 41% | Jun 03 | Jun 05 | Mason Dixon |