Dem
47
GOP
53
One of the issues Donald Trump has hit the hardest is DEI. His XOs and other actions ban it everywhere he can and he threatens organizations and states where he doesn't have the actual power to ban it. Many companies have gotten the hint and closed their DEI offices and are phasing DEI out. Trump's largely white, working-class supporters are cheering, thinking that henceforth all the blue-collar jobs will go to white men. Victory at last!
But it may be short-lived. The victory may not outlive the Trump presidency. Trump's enemy on this score isn't the Democrats, it's the demographics. Since 2000, young white people have not only declined as a percentage of the population, but also in absolute numbers. Companies that actually want a more diverse workforce may not need a special office anymore to ensure that when most of the applicants for entry-level jobs are not white men. As time goes on, they will naturally move up the corporate ranks (at least absent overt and illegal discrimination). It may take longer without a push, but after a while, the majority of students and young workers, taxpayers, and voters will not be white men. This may come as a shock to Trump's base, but it is going to happen whether they like it or not. If most of the applicants to Ivy League universities are women or nonwhite men, simply because there are more of them, then the top law schools, medical schools, business schools, etc. are going to be inputting and outputting more people who are not white men to go into their respective professions.
Of course, if Trump rolls out policies or threats to actively thwart these people, we could be headed for a two-tier society and more social turmoil for a while.
In 2000, 70% of high school graduating classes were white. In 2021, it was 49% and falling. Is there any chance the demographics could flip? Not likely because the percentage of white women of child-bearing age is dropping, meaning fewer white births. That is also not likely to reverse due to immigration since, despite what Trump would like, most immigrants are not coming from Norway. In short, Trump may be able to hold back the tide for 4 more years, but eventually demography will win out. (V)