Dem 47
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GOP 53
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New Poll: Trump is 14 Points Underwater

No poll currently out was taken entirely after the bombing of Iran, but a YouGov poll was in the field when the bombing took place, with 37% of respondents having been interviewed pre-bombing and 63% afterwards, so it is a first look at where we may be headed. The bottom line is that Donald Trump's approval is now 14 points under water, with 40% approval and 54% disapproval, the worst poll he has had during Trump v2.0. This is also worse than he was during most of Trump v1.0.

Here is a graph of presidential approval for Trump v1.0, Biden, and Trump v2.0. As you can see, Trump's net approval is 23 points below where Biden was at this point in his presidency:

Trump v1.0 vs Biden vs Trump 2.0 net approval

Note that Trump is down from +5 on Jan. 20, 2025 to -14 now, a drop of 19 points in 5 months. This is not a good sign for him.

Since YouGov knows who was interviewed pre-bombing and who afterwards, some comparisons are possible. Before the bombing, 57% of Republicans approved of Trump's handling of the Iran-Israel war. Afterwards, it jumped to 82% approval. Among Democrats, before the bombing, 56% did not want Trump to bomb Iran. After he did it, 74% disapproved. So it became a partisan thing.

Another interesting finding is that 48% of Republicans want America to take an active role in world affairs vs. 31% who are isolationist. Remember, Trump ran on an isolationist platform and promised not to get involved in any foreign wars. Now it seems that the base isn't really with him on that. Certainly, the party is divided on foreign affairs. (V)



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