Dem
47
GOP
53
The elections earlier this month gave the Democrats a lot to cheer about. The next test will be in December, when a special election will be held in Tennessee in the district TN-07. It will be for the seat of former representative Mark Green (R), who quit Congress in June because it kinda sucks. The district is R+10, so a Democratic win is unlikely, but if the race is even close, that would be a sign that the results in Virginia and New Jersey indicate a trend toward the Democrats.
The district has a piece of Nashville but also a large piece of rural Tennessee west of Nashville. It is 69% white and 16% Black. The Democratic candidate is state Rep. Aftyn Behn. The Republican is Matt Van Epps. Donald Trump won the district by 22 points last year. One problem is that Behn is a liberal activist. That worked in her tiny state House district but might be a big problem in the much larger congressional district. Still, a close finish would be interpreted as a sign, even if she loses. The election is the Tuesday after Thanksgiving, which could reduce turnout. (V)