Dem
47
GOP
53
Donald Trump's win in 2024 was largely powered by (young) Latino and (young) Black voters who were turned off by Kamala Harris and decided to give Trump a shot, especially since he promised to lower prices. The Latinos, at least, have learned their lesson. A recent AP/NORC poll has Trump's approval among Latinos at 25% and his disapproval at 65%. At the start of Trump v2.0, the numbers were 44% approve and 53% disapprove. That's a big hit and we are only 10 months in.
Another poll, from Ipsos, gives a similar result. Among other things, the pollster asked people if they felt like a stranger in their own country. Almost half did, with more than half of Black and Latino respondents saying so:
It is hard to imagine people who feel alienated in Trump's America turning out en masse for his party next year. On the "direction of the country" question, 84% of Black and 70% of Latino respondents are dissatisfied with the country's direction. In this poll, Trump's approval is slightly better among Latinos than in the NORC poll—30% vs 25%—but that is not so great. Among Black people, Trump's approval is a dismal 16%. Both groups overwhelmingly disapprove of how Trump is handling immigration and deportations. Also, over half of both groups say their personal economic situation has gotten worse this year. (V)