Dem
47
GOP
53
Last week there was an AP/NORC poll that had Donald Trump's approval at 33%. That was a huge drop since March. Now there is a Reuters/Ipsos poll with Trump's approval at 34%. This is starting to get serious. If Trump's approval hits the Bush line (32% approval) and stays there, Republicans will probably lose the Senate as well as the House. The Texas Senate race could be the canary in the coal mine. Yesterday, a second Texas poll was released showing state Rep. James Talarico (D) beating Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) 40% to 33% and beating Ken Paxton 42% to 34%.
Of course, two recent presidential approval polls in the low 30s aren't the whole story. Here are Trump's 10 most recent approval polls:
| Pollster | Date | Approve | Disapprove | Net |
| Ipsos | April 24-27 | 34% | 64% | Disapprove +30 |
| YouGov | April 24-27 | 37% | 59% | Disapprove +22 |
| Morning Consult | April 24-27 | 45% | 53% | Disapprove +8 |
| HarrisX/Harris Poll | April 23-26 | 42% | 53% | Disapprove +11 |
| RMG Research | April 14-23 | 42% | 55% | Disapprove +13 |
| Quantus Insights | April 21-23 | 43% | 56% | Disapprove +14 |
| Morning Consult | April 15-20 | 42% | 54% | Disapprove +12 |
| Angus Reid Global | April 15-20 | 35% | 59% | Disapprove +24 |
| Ipsos | April 15-20 | 36% | 62% | Disapprove +26 |
| AP-NORC | April 16-20 | 33% | 67% | Disapprove +34 |
| Average | 39% | 58% | Disapprove +19 |
The average is more high 30s than low 30s, but as gas prices go up and hope for a quick resolution of the war in Iran goes down, the more recent polls may be a harbinger of what's next. (V)