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strong Dem Strong Dem (253)
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barely Dem Barely Dem (73)
tied Exactly tied (0)
barely GOP Barely GOP (13)
weak GOP Weak GOP (42)
strong GOP Strong GOP (125)
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News from the Votemaster

Huntsman Expected to Drop Out Today and Endorse Romney     Permalink

Former Utah governor Jon Huntsman, who thought he would be an alternative to Mitt Romney but didn't catch on, is expected to drop out of the race and endorse fellow Mormon Romney today. Huntsman has no chance at all in Saturday's South Carolina primary. Maybe he is angling for a position Romney's cabinet if he wins. If he liked being an ambasador, he could have stuck with the job he already had (ambassador to China), after all. Early on, he probably thought he was more-or-less equivalent to Romney but without all the flip flopping, but he also didn't have the 5 years of careful preparation, name recognition, and thousands of contacts all over the country that Romney had. That said, Huntsman's dropping out is not likely to make much of a difference in South Carolina since he wasn't going to get many votes and his endorsement means little to people who weren't going to vote for him anyway (and only marginally more to those who were).

Why is the Republican Field So Weak?     Permalink

Fried Hiatt of the Washington Post wrote an excellent piece today about why the Republican field is so weak this year. Some of his hypotheses are:

  • In 2009, all the 'serious' Republicans thought the race was hopeless (like the 'serious' Democrats in 1992)
  • Everyone thought the process was repellent, making you suck up to millionaires to raise money
  • Serious people realize the next President has to cut health care costs and that will be extremely unpleasant
  • Having to govern with a restive base that is unwilling to compromise is an impossible task

South Carolina Debate Tonight     Permalink

The first of two South Carolina debates is tonight in Myrtle Beach. The second one is on Thursday in Charleston. The primary has become an all-out civil war within the Republican party and it will be interesting to see if the candidates attacking Romney tooth and nail on TV will go after Romney in person tonight. Remember, what seems like thousands of years ago, Tim Pawlenty coined a new word, "Obamneycare" and used it to great effect off stage. But when he was asked to repeat it on stage with Romney present, he wouldn't do it. The media basically called him a coward and that was the end of his campaign. With Newt Gingrich and Rick Perry running ads in South Carolina calling Romney every name in the book, it will be interesting to see if they are willing to do it to his face. If they do, we could have some real fireworks. Also significant is how Rick Santorum does now that the social conservative leaders have settled on him as the not-Romney. This new support could give him the confidence to ignore Gingrich and Perry as dead meat and focus his fire on Romney.

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Previous headlines

Jan15 Social Conservatives Agree to Back Santorum
Jan13 Eleventh Commandment Repealed
Jan11 NH: Romney 39%, Paul 23%, Huntsman 17%, Gingrich 9%, Santorum 9%
Jan11 Charlie Cook: Redistricting is Politically Neutral
Jan10 Romney Leads Going into the New Hampshire Primary Today
Jan10 Gingrich Goes Negative in South Carolina
Jan08 Romney Survives Debate Unscathed
Jan08 Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it
Jan05 Bachmann Drops Out
Jan05 Perry Hesitates, but Stays In
Jan05 Movement Conservatives Attempt to Find a Consensus Candidate
Jan04 Iowa: Romney 24.6%, Santorum 24.6%, Paul 21.4%, Gingrich 13.3%
Jan03 All Eyes on Iowa Today
Jan03 The Horse Race as a Horse Race
Jan01 Happy New Presidential Election Year
Jan01 Iowa Caucuses Are This Tuesday
Jan01 Final Selzer Poll: Romney and Paul on top but Santorum Rising
Dec16 No Fireworks in Final GOP Debate
Dec11 Romney Offers Perry a $10,000 Bet During Debate
Dec11 Where is Sarah Palin?
Dec11 The 2012 Contest: Whole Foods Clients vs. Cracker Barrel Shoppers
Dec07 Gingrich Way Ahead in Iowa
Dec07 Obama Gives Fiery Speech Attacking the Republicans
Dec07 Pelosi Backtracks on Releasing Dirt
Dec04 Herman Cain Drops Out
Dec04 Gingrich Pulls Away in Iowa
Nov29 Woman Accuses Cain of Long-Running Affair
Nov23 Romney's Extended Family Could be a Problem
Nov23 Republicans Ignore China, Eurocrisis in Debate on Foreign Affairs
Nov19 Newton Defies Gravity
Nov10 Perry Stumbles Badly in Debate
Nov09 Anti-Union Bill Repealed in Ohio
Nov09 Republicans May Take over Virginia State Senate
Nov09 An Egg is Not a Person in Mississippi
Nov06 Romney's Choice
Oct22 Cain First, Romney Real Winner in NV Straw Poll
Oct12 Mitt the Inevitable?
Oct06 Steve Jobs and Politics
Oct06 Palin Will Not Run for President
Sep30 Senate Races 2012

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