Dem 51
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GOP 49
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Looking Forward to 2024, Part VII: Reader Predictions, Congress Edition

We have been trying to get back to this for SO long, but there's been SO much news that, well... In any case, we have three more sets of predictions, and we have to get them in this week, because we want to move on to other backlogged material next week. As a reminder, here are the sets of predictions we have already run:

And now, 10 reader predictions about Congress:

  1. M.C. in Fresno, CA: Democrats will win the U.S. Senate seat in Texas, sending Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) to wherever... (Potential Bonus Points: 67)

  2. J.J. in Johnstown, PA: Sherrod Brown and Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT) will both win re-election, but the open seat in Michigan will flip to Republican. (Potential Bonus Points: 76)

  3. K.F.S. in Lorton, VA: Two incumbent senators will lose reelection, but Sherrod Brown won't be one of them. (Potential Bonus Points: 50)

  4. D.C. in Delray Beach, FL: Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-MI) will win the Senate seat in Michigan by 8 points. (Potential Bonus Points: 50)

  5. R.C. in Des Moines, IA: Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) will reverse course and not only bring the Senate immigration bill to the floor but will whip votes in favor. When asked why he changed course, he will say God spoke to him and this is His will. (Potential Bonus Points: 85)

  6. The Great Bombini in Cincinnati, OH: You don't need the Great Bombini to tell you that Mike Johnson won't last through the end of the year. I give him until June, tops. (Potential Bonus Points: 50)

  7. K.F.S. in Lorton, VA: The Democrats will retake the House with a healthy majority, saying goodbye to Lauren Boebert and Nancy Mace. (Potential Bonus Points: 51)

  8. S.H. in Broken Arrow, OK: At least one member of The Squad will face a censure, likely over remarks about Israel, that will succeed based on a party-line vote. (Potential Bonus Points: 37)

  9. O.E. in Greenville, SC: There will be scandals causing at least one member of each party to resign from Congress. (Potential Bonus Points: 55)

  10. E.S. in Maine, NY: A fistfight will happen in Congress, on the floor of one of the chambers. Both people involved will be Republicans. (Potential Bonus Points: 63)

If the readers pull a sweep here, then they'll earn 1,000 points for 10 correct predictions, along with 584 bonus points for degree of difficulty. Although prediction #2 and #4 are in conflict, so there won't be a sweep.

The next set of predictions will be about foreign affairs, followed by a wildcard set. (Z)



This item appeared on www.electoral-vote.com. Read it Monday through Friday for political and election news, Saturday for answers to reader's questions, and Sunday for letters from readers.

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