Dem
50
GOP
50
Democrats are leading in all the states they need to lead in, and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) is within striking distance. Still, where the heck are the Montana polls? Maybe buffalo don't have cell phones. (Z)
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | Ruben Gallego | 51% | Kari Lake | 44% | Sep 24 | Oct 01 | Fabrizio + Anzalone |
| Massachusetts | Elizabeth Warren* | 59% | John Deaton | 35% | Oct 01 | Oct 05 | Suffolk U. |
| Michigan | Elissa Slotkin | 52% | Mike Rogers | 47% | Oct 05 | Oct 07 | Research Co. |
| Pennsylvania | Bob Casey* | 51% | David McCormick | 48% | Oct 05 | Oct 07 | Research Co. |
| Texas | Colin Allred | 44% | Ted Cruz* | 47% | Oct 02 | Oct 06 | Florida Atlantic U. |
| Wisconsin | Tammy Baldwin* | 52% | Eric Hovde | 47% | Oct 05 | Oct 07 | Research Co. |