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House Dem 204   GOP 189   Ties 42

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tied Exactly tied (1)
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Senate polls today: CO PA SC WI RSS
Dem pickups: (None) GOP pickups: AR CO IL IN ND PA WV WI PDA

PW logo Buck Builds Lead in Colorado South Carolina Race Tightens
O'Donnell's Father Democrats Trusted on Nearly Every Issue
Another Poll Shows Feingold Trailing Buck Leads in Colorado

News from the Votemaster            

McAdams Raises $650,000 in September     Permalink

Until Joe Miller's upset victory over Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK), nobody took the Democratic nominee for the Alaska Senate seat, Sitka mayor Scott McAdams, seriously. With Miller's win and Murkowski's re-entry in the race as a write-in candidate, all of a sudden Democrats smelled a chance and began donating to McAdams' campaign. Between his June entry into the race and August he had raised $17,000. In September he raised $650,000. That is a lot of money for Alaska although Murkowski has more and Miller is expected to get a lot of help from the NRSC.

Landry Wins LA-03 Runoff     Permalink

Attorney Jeff Landry beat former Louisiana House Speaker Hunt Downer in the runoff yesterday for the Republican nomination in LA-03. Landry beat Downer in the first round, but failed to get 50%, forcing a runoff. The Democrat is Attorney Ravi Sangisetty. This is the seat left open when Charlie Melancon decided to challenge David Vitter for the Senate. The district has a PVI of R+12, making Landry the odds-on favorite. In fact, it is amazing the Democrats could find anyone willing to even try. This was the final primary of 2010. At this point all the candidates for the Senate and House have been determined. The complete Senate list is here. The full House list is here.

2012 GOP Primary May Divide by Class     Permalink

A closer analysis of Thursday's Gallup poll of Republicans regarding the 2012 GOP presidential nomination reveals a striking class division. Overall, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney leads former Alaska governor Sarah Palin 19% to 16%. However, among Republicans with postgraduate degrees, Romney leads Palin 3 to 1. Among Republicans with a bachelor's degree he leads over 2 to 1. But among those Republicans without a college degree, they run about even. It has been clear for a long time--and apparently continues to be true--that much of Palin's support comes from poorly educated voters who resent various elites running their lives. Romney's supporters come from those elites. A Romney vs. Palin primary would be out-and-out class warfare.

Today's Polls: CO PA SC WI WA-08     Permalink

New Senate Polls

State Democrat D-pct Republican R-pct I I-pct Start End Pollster
Colorado Michael Bennet* 42% Ken Buck 50%     Sep 26 Sep 28 Marist Coll.
Pennsylvania Joe Sestak 42% Pat Toomey 51%     Sep 26 Sep 28 Marist Coll.
South Carolina Alvin Greene 23% Jim DeMint* 56%     Sep 30 Sep 30 Crantford Associates
Wisconsin Russ Feingold* 45% Ron Johnson 52%     Sep 26 Sep 28 Marist Coll.

New House Polls

Cong. Distr. Democrat D-pct Republican R-pct I I-pct Start End Pollster
WA-08 Suzan DelBene 45% Dave Reichert* 52%     Sep 27 Sep 29 SurveyUSA

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