Obama 290
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Ties 9
Romney 239
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Dem 54
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Ties 2
GOP 44
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  • Strongly Dem (187)
  • Likely Dem (50)
  • Barely Dem (53)
  • Exactly tied (9)
  • Barely GOP (69)
  • Likely GOP (20)
  • Strongly GOP (150)
270 Electoral votes needed to win Map algorithm explained
New polls: AZ OH
Dem pickups: (None)
GOP pickups: FL IN NH NC
PW logo Obama Holds Big Lead Among Early Voters Latest Swing State Polls
Arlen Specter is Dead Father Says Ambassador's Death Shouldn't Be Campaign Issue
SNL on the Vice Presidential Debate Closing Arguments Hit the Airwaves

News from the Votemaster

Romney and Ryan Move to Ohio

Only a week ago, Ohio seemed outside their grasp, but Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan have effectively moved to Ohio where they have been campaigning very hard to flip the state. They have taken different paths and been pushing different messages. Ryan has been in the industrial Northeast saying that the Republicans will bring manufacturing jobs back to the state. Romney has been in the southern part of the state attacking green energy and defending the use of coal, which is mined in Ohio. Romney said that the United States has 250 years of coal.

Some of the campaign stops seemed pointless, though. For example, Ryan stopped at a soup kitchen and washed a pan for a photo op, even though the pan was already clean and there was no one to serve at the soup kitchen. Not to be outdone, Romney aired a radio ad attacking Obama for not wanting to make more M-1 tanks at a plant in Lima, OH, even though the Army does not want them any more.

No Republican has ever been elected President while losing Ohio and today we have a new PPP poll showing Obama with a 5-point lead in the Buckeye State.

The Hill: Democrats Will Hold Senate, GOP Will Hold House

An analysis of all the Senate and House races has led The Hill to predict that in the new Congress, Democrats will control the Senate and Republicans will control the House, just as they do now. A detailed rundown of close House races is presented.

Five Myths about Polling

The Washington Post has an interesting story about polling. There are many myths about polling floating around out there. Here are some of the biggest ones.

  • Internal campaign polls are more accurate than public polls
  • Polls prove the first presidential debate radically changed the race
  • If a poll nails the election results, the pollster's methodology must be good
  • A sample that doesn't contain an equal number of Democrats and Republicans can't be correct
  • News outlets are biased in favor of President Obama

Obama Has Gotten Donations from over Four Million People

Although Obama has dropped in the polls this week his fundraising is doing well. He has now received donations from over four million individual donors who collectively made over 10 million donations. He is now close to raising $1 billion. In contrast, Mitt Romney has received far few donations and has generally relied on large donations from wealthy donors.

Ron Paul Refuses to Endorse Romney

Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX), who ran an unsuccessful campaign for the Republican presidential nomination, has said he will not endorse Mitt Romney for President. He said there is no difference between Obama and Romney since they are captive to the same interests.

What Obama Can Do To Win the Next Debate

Here is a funny cartoon about what Obama can do to win the second presidential debate.

Today's Presidential Polls

State Obama Romney   Start End Pollster
Arizona 44% 42%   Oct 04 Oct 10 Rocky Mtn Poll
Ohio 51% 46%   Oct 12 Oct 13 PPP

Today's Senate Polls

State Democrat D % Republican R % I I % Start End Pollster
Arizona Richard Carmona 44% Jeff Flake 40%     Oct 04 Oct 10 Rocky Mtn Poll
Ohio Sherrod Brown* 49% Josh Mandel 42%     Oct 12 Oct 13 PPP
Pennsylvania Bob Casey* 48% Tom Smith 38%     Oct 04 Oct 08 Global Strategy

* Denotes incumbent

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---The Votemaster

Previous Headlines

Oct13 Another Poll Shows Biden Won the Vice-Presidential Debate
Oct13 Romney To Run Massive Numbers of Ads in Final Three Weeks
Oct13 Closing Loopholes Would Allow Only a 4% Tax Rate Reduction
Oct13 Gallup To Make Half of Its Calls to Cell Phones
Oct13 Consumer Confidence Highest in Five Years
Oct13 Ryan Has Received $3 Million in Donations from the Financial Industry
Oct12 Biden Ends Democratic Freakout
Oct11 Expanded Poll Graphs Now Available
Oct11 What Biden Needs To Do Tonight
Oct11 Forget the National Polls, It's All about Nine States
Oct11 Fight over Provisional Ballots Expected to Go to Court in Ohio
Oct11 Why Did It Take So Long for Romney V2.0 to Repudiate Romney V1.0?
Oct11 Jamie Dimon Supports Higher Taxes for the Rich
Oct10 Romney Leads Obama Nationally in New Polls
Oct10 Romney Says He Will Not Pursue Any New Restrictions of Abortions
Oct10 Ohio Secretary of State To Appeal Early Voting Decision to the Supreme Court
Oct10 The Role of Congress Likely to Loom Large in Vice-Presidential Debate
Oct10 The Ten Most Competitive Senate Races
Oct10 Democrats Have Massive Lead Among Latinos in Arizona
Oct10 Three States Have a Referendum on Same-Sex Marriage
Oct09 National Pew Poll: Romney Leads 49% to 45%
Oct09 Next Congress Will Be More Divided than This One
Oct09 Active Duty and Retired Military Personnel Support Romney
Oct09 Biden V2.0 May Be Very Different from Biden V1.0
Oct09 Bill Clinton Campaigning Everywhere
Oct08 Internet Voting Seen As a Huge Risk
Oct08 Absentee Ballots Present Challenges to Election Officials
Oct08 Budget Experts Say the Books Were Not Cooked
Oct08 Heitkamp Running for Mayor of North Dakota
Oct08 Disenchanted Lugar Supporters May Determine Indiana Senate Race
Oct08 Moderator Martha Raddatz Needs to Show Biden and Ryan Who's the Boss
Oct07 Obama Raises $181 Million in September
Oct07 Romney Gains Momentum after Debate
Oct07 Priebus Praises Biden in Advance of Vice-Presidential Debate
Oct07 Democrats Not Expected to Retake House
Oct07 Coloradoans Like Pot
Oct06 Early Voting Reinstated in Ohio
Oct06 Democrats Fight Voter Suppression Laws with Voter Encouragement Laws
Oct06 How Bipartisan Was Romney as Governor?
Oct06 Democrats Counting on Biden to Attack the Ryan Plan for Replacing Medicare
Oct06 Why Isn't Romney Really Rich?
Oct06 Romney Drops Talking Point
Oct06 Will Black Voters Turn Out in Virginia and North Carolina?
Oct05 Obama Approval Reaches 3-Year High
Oct05 Obama Has Record Fundraising in September
Oct05 Obama To Be More Aggressive in Next Debate
Oct05 Etch-A-Sketch Shaken on Wednesday
Oct05 Unemployment Rate Drops Below 8%
Oct05 Obama Crushing Romney Among Latinos
Oct05 Exit Poll Data Will Not Be Reported in 19 States