Obama 297
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Ties 29
Romney 212
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Dem 47
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Ties 3
GOP 50
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  • Strongly Dem (177)
  • Likely Dem (64)
  • Barely Dem (56)
  • Exactly tied (29)
  • Barely GOP (31)
  • Likely GOP (39)
  • Strongly GOP (142)
270 Electoral votes needed to win Map algorithm explained
New polls: CA MO VA
Dem pickups: (None)
GOP pickups: IN IA NC
PW logo Brown Leads in Massachusetts RNC Cancels First Day of Convention
Just Seven States Mysterious Mitt
Priebus Predicts Convention Bump for Romney Obama Says Debates Could Shake Up Race

News from the Votemaster

Republican Convention Schedule Changed

At the last minute, the Republicans have changed the schedule for their convention. Mitt Romney will now be nominated on Monday, the night the networks are not going to cover. That is a pity because the roll call of states is often amusing. Ann Romney's speech, originally scheduled for Monday, has been moved to Tuesday, so it will be covered. In some ways, she is the most important speaker at the convention and the only one who can poke fun at Mitt Romney and humanize him. She often mentions the time he was speaking somewhere and he said to her: "Sweetheart, in your wildest dreams, did you ever see me coming here and speaking to this group?' And she said: 'Mitt, you aren't in my wildest dreams."

Another schedule change--albeit not controlled by the Republican National Committee--is that Joe Biden has postponed his trip to Tampa on account of tropical storm/hurricane Isaac. He is making this change because a vice-presidential visit requires a lot of assistance from local law-enforcement agencies and they are going to be stretched to the limit by the convention/storm combo.

Republican Platform Has Changes from Previous Years

While the text of the Republican Party platform won't be released until Monday, reporters have deduced bits and pieces of it by talking to people who know what is in it. One thing everyone should understand about both parties platforms is that they are written by party activists, not the nominee, although a sitting President has more influence than a nonincumbent nominee. The Republican platform will call for an amendment to the Constitution to prohibit all abortions. Period. It will also contain a plank calling for a law forbidding U.S. courts from considering foreign laws and traditions when rendering decisions. Also new is a call to study returning to the gold standard (in an attempt to keep Ron Paul from unleashing a second hurricane on Tampa). Other planks call for banning any future tax increases, denying women combat roles in the Armed Forces, and building a two-layer fence along the entire Mexican border. It is an angry platform and RNC chairman Reince Priebus said: "This is the platform of the Republican Party. It's not the platform of Mitt Romney."

Democratic Congressman: GOP Anti-Immigrant Platform Will Backfire

Rep. Luis Gutierrez (D-IL) said yesterday that the Republicans' approach to immigration is going to hurt them badly among Latino citizens. He said that they are continuing the fantasy that they can round up and deport 11 or 12 million illegals and build a great big fence to keep future ones out. He added that they don't want to solve the immigration problem but are merely trying to fire up their base.

AARP Flags Key Issues for Seniors

The AARP, a lobbying group for Americans over 50 with 38 million members, has waded into the presidential election. Its main issues are saving Social Security and Medicare, and helping seniors deal with retirement. The organization has produced a Website to provide information to its members about the candidates' stands on these issues. It does not endorse candidates but still has a powerful influence.

Akin Again Affirms He Will Stay in Senate Race

Despite a new Rasmussen poll showing that he is trailing Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) by 10 points, embattled Missouri Republican Senate nominee Todd Akin once again clearly stated yesterday that he has no intention of dropping out of the race. At this point the party is against him, his money is gone, and the polls show he will be defeated in a landslide but he still says he will soldier on. Maybe he means it.

Today's Presidential Polls

For the first time this year we have a Rasmussen poll showing Obama ahead in Missouri. In Rasmussen's July poll, Romney was up by 6 points. This might be a kind of reverse coattail effect from Todd Akin, but it could also just be a statistical fluctuation.

State Obama Romney   Start End Pollster
California 56% 33%   Aug 03 Aug 07 Tulchin Research
Missouri 47% 46%   Aug 22 Aug 22 Rasmussen
Virginia 47% 47%   Aug 23 Aug 23 Rasmussen

Today's Senate Polls

State Democrat D % Republican R % I I % Start End Pollster
Virginia Tim Kaine 45% George Allen 45%     Aug 23 Aug 23 Rasmussen

* Denotes incumbent

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---The Votemaster

Previous Headlines

Aug24 Poll Shows Women See Romney as Out of Step on Their Health Issues
Aug24 Could North Dakota Senate Race Be Competitive?
Aug24 Hundreds of Pages of Bain Capital Internal Documents Published Online
Aug24 Hurricane Isaac Could Affect Security at Republican National Convention
Aug24 Nevada Voters Have to Pick Somebody for President
Aug23 How Can the Republican Party Pressure Akin to Leave the Race?
Aug23 Republican Platform Committee Adopts Plank Banning All Abortions
Aug23 Hurricane Might Hit Tampa During Republican National Convention
Aug23 Both Parties Announce Convention Speakers
Aug23 Obama To Campaign in Swing States During Republican Convention
Aug22 Romney Calls on Akin to Drop Out of Missouri Senate Race
Aug22 Akin Incident Brings Up the Akin-Ryan Anti-Abortion Bill
Aug22 Six Theories about Why Akin Refuses to Drop Out
Aug22 New Study Shows That In-Person Voting Fraud Is Microscopic
Aug22 Biden to Campaign in Tampa During Republican Convention
Aug22 Voters Are Ignorant on Medicare Proposal
Aug21 Akin Vows to Stay in the Senate Race
Aug21 GOP Platform to Call for Constitutional Amendment Banning Abortion
Aug21 Romney Has Big Cash Advantage over Obama
Aug21 NRSC Outraises DSCC in July and Has More Cash on Hand
Aug21 Democratic Officials Suspended for Trying to Keep Polls Open Longer
Aug20 A Dozen Senate Seats Are in Play
Aug20 GOP Senate Nominee Says Legitimate Rape Victims Don't Get Pregnant
Aug20 2012 Will Be A Base Election
Aug20 Romney Has a Big To-Do List for the Next Week
Aug20 The End of WASP Rule?
Aug19 Both Parties Are Uneasy Coalitions of Warring Factions
Aug19 Florida Senate Race Also Tied to Medicare
Aug19 Obama Offers a Compromise on Romney's Taxes but Romney Says No
Aug19 House Members Running for Vice President is a Rarity
Aug18 Obama Is the Overwhelming Favorite of Nonvoters
Aug18 Federal Court Rules Florida Cannot Reduce Early Voting in Five Counties
Aug18 Ryan Releases Two Years of Tax Returns
Aug18 Romney's Name May Not Be on the Ballot in Washington State
Aug18 Ron Paul Will Hold a Big Party in Tampa
Aug17 Romney Says He Paid 13.6% or More for the Last 10 Years
Aug17 Romney Started a Trend: Thompson Won't Release Tax Returns Either
Aug17 Only 3-5% of Voters Are Truly Undecided
Aug17 Romney's Biggest (Political) Assets and Liabilities Listed
Aug17 Medicare Now More Important with Voters Than Obamacare
Aug17 Ryan's Presence on Ticket Will Restart Social Security Debate
Aug17 iPhone App Also Works on iPad
Aug16 Thousands of People Apply to Defer Deportation
Aug16 Romney Gets Bump from Picking Ryan
Aug16 Why Did Pennsylvania Judge Uphold Voter ID Law
Aug16 Romney Takes the Gloves Off
Aug16 Americans Hate Congress but Reelect the Bums Nevertheless
Aug15 Thompson Wins Wisconsin Senate Primary
Aug15 McMahon Wins Connecticut Senate Primary
Aug15 Pennsylvania Judge Upholds Voter ID Law