Obama 314
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Romney 224
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Dem 51
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Ties 3
GOP 46
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  • Strongly Dem (194)
  • Likely Dem (39)
  • Barely Dem (81)
  • Exactly tied (0)
  • Barely GOP (44)
  • Likely GOP (47)
  • Strongly GOP (133)
270 Electoral votes needed to win Map algorithm explained
New polls: (None)
Dem pickups: (None)
GOP pickups: IN NC OH
PW logo An Obamacare Hint White House Braces for Health Care Decision
Republican Lawmaker Accused of Campaign Violations Romney Hit Again on Bain Capital
Romney Was Always a Winner Agent Garbo

News from the Votemaster

Bain Capital's Firms Outsourced Jobs Overseas

It has now come out that companies Bain Capital invested in pioneered outsourcing jobs overseas. From Bain's perspective, this may have cut costs and helped these companies become profitable again, but it is going to lead to a spate of ads from President Obama's team that we don't need the Outsourcer-in-Chief in the oval office. At the very least, it will put Mitt Romney on the defensive.

Wealthy Democrats Not Donating to SuperPACs

Rich Republicans have donated tens of millions of dollars to SuperPACs already and they will have donated hundreds of millions by the end of the campaign. Many of the donations come from the finance, oil, and real estate industries. In contrast, Democratic-aligned superPACs are getting very few donations. It is not that there aren't any wealthy Democrats. There are, in Hollywood, Silicon Valley, and among the trial lawyers, but so far they are keeping their wallets closed. Part of the problem is that, in principle, Democrats don't like superPACs, but they are also less well organized. There is nothing on the Democratic side like Karl Rove's Crossroads GPS, which has raised $70 million. Democrats are now trying to play catch up, but they are way behind and unlikely to ever reach parity,

Obama's Latino Strategy is Working

Obama's move to halt deportations of illegal immigrants who came to the U.S. as children if they finished high school or served in the Armed Forces is paying off. His speech to the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials got a strong reaction from the crowd, far more than Romney's speech on Thursday did. A new poll in five battleground states show Obama with huge leads among Latino voters. In Arizona it is 56%, in Colorado it is 48%, in Florida it is 16%, in Nevada it is 49%, and in Virginia it is 31%. The poll was taken June 12-21, much of it before Obama's immigration decision, so his edge in these states is probably larger now.

Only 34% of Americans Believe Obama is a Christian

A new Gallup poll shows that just 34% of Americans believe President Obama is a Christian while 11% think he is a Muslim. About 44% don't know what his religion is. Now remember, in the Spring of 2008 there was an enormous controversy about Rev. Jeremiah wright, the pastor of the church Obama went to in Chicago. Republicans attacked Obama asking why he went to a church for 20 years with such a hateful pastor.

The real message here has nothing to do with churches or even Obama. After there being months of stories in the news about Obama attending a church with a hateful pastor, how could anyone not know Obama is a Christian? Muslims, Jews, and atheists generally don't attend church for 20 years. The bottom line here is that a large majority of Americans don't follow the news and are woefully ignorant about politics. This is why Romney thinks he can get away with an Etch-A-Sketch campaign: half the people don't even know what he said in the primaries, so when he changes his views now, they don't even notice.

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---The Votemaster

Previous Headlines

Jun22 Romney Reverses Course on Immigration in Speech to Latino Officials
Jun22 Romney Sees Path to Victory Running Through the Midwest
Jun21 LeMieux Formally Ends Florida Senate Run
Jun20 Supreme Court to Rule on Whether States Can Stop Corporate Campaign Donations
Jun20 Democrats to Push DISCLOSE Act
Jun20 Interesting Analysis of the Political Effects of the ACA Ruling
Jun20 Schumer Plays Nice with Wall Street
Jun19 Obama's Decision on Immigration Popular with Likely Voters
Jun19 Immigration Issue Could Affect Other Races
Jun19 Rubio Not Being Vetted for Veep
Jun18 Crisis Averted in Greece as Center-Right Party Wins Election
Jun18 Can Any President Govern?
Jun18 Child Propaganda Takes Off
Jun18 Interactive Chart Shows Unemployment Numbers
JJun17 Greek Vote Today Could Roil Financial Markets Worldwide
JJun17 What If the Supreme Court Strikes Down Just the Mandate?
JJun17 Electoral votes: Obama 279 Romney 230
JJun17 Senate: Democrats 51 Republicans 47
Jun17 What If the Supreme Court Strikes Down Just the Mandate?
Jun16 Obama's Action on Immigration Opens Fissure within Republican Party
Jun16 Ohio Speeches by Obama and Romney Preview the Campaign Ahead
Jun16 Ginsburg Hints at Sharp Disagreements Ahead
Jun15 Campaigns Waiting Anxiously for Supreme Court
Jun14 Improvement to the Tipping-Point state Table
Jun14 Casino Owner Bets on Former Opponent
Jun14 Autopsy on the Arizona Special Election
Jun14 Majority Blame Bush for the Bad Economy
Jun13 Allen Wins the Republican Primary in Virginia
Jun13 Gifford's Aide Wins Her Seat
Jun13 Summers (R) and Dill (D) to Face Off in Maine but it Probably Doesn't Matter
Jun13 Congress' Approval Rating Now at 17%
Jun13 Republicans Have No Plan B on Health Care
Jun12 Median Family Net Worth Plunges 40% in 3 Years
Jun12 Attacks on Bain Capital Are Working
Jun12 Federal Government to Sue Florida to Stop Purging the Voting Rolls
Jun11 Should Obama Ignore Swing Voters?
Jun11 Obama Losing Support Among Jews
Jun11 Fun and Games in Maine
Jun11 Pick the Veep
Jun10 Reid Puts His Political Machine to Work for Berkley
Jun10 Rubio First Choice for Veep in CPAC Straw Poll
Jun09 A Demographics vs. Economics Election?
Jun09 Could Europe Determine the U.S. Election Results?
Jun09 Fifteen California Races Still Undecided
Jun09 Obama Falls Below 270 Electoral Votes for the First Time
Jun08 Clinton Didn't Say What He Meant to Say
Jun08 Romney Outraises Obama in May
Jun07 What Could Romney Learn from Walker?
Jun07 Democrats Start the Blame Game over Wisconsin Loss
Jun07 Might Romney Choose Walker as Veep?