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Romney Wins Kentucky and Arkansas Primaries     Permalink

As expected, Mitt Romney won the primaries in Kentucky and Arkansas yesterday. However, despite all his opponents having dropped out, he managed to get only about 2/3 of the vote in each state. Here are the results.

State Romney Paul Santorum Gingrich
Kentucky 67% 13% 9% 6%
Arkansas 68% 13% 13% 5%

Again we see that he has not yet brought all the diehard supporters of Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich, and Ron Paul on board.

Obama Also Has Trouble Unifying His Party     Permalink

Romney is not the only one with a problem herding his cats. Obama has also gotten less than 100% of the vote in uncontested primaries, especially in the South and Appalachia. But the issue of unifying the party is more critical for Romney because he had actual opponents this year and they had actual supporters who may not yet be reconciled to voting for Romney (like the Hillary voters in 2008). Democrats voting against Obama in the primaries are just expressing generally dissatisfaction with the state of the country and the economy. They are not bitter because their candidate lost to a guy they don't trust.

To some extent, the situation is summed up by a new WaP/ABC News poll It found that 93% of Obama's supporters are enthusiastic about him whereas only 75% of Romney's are enthusiastic about him. In other words, the Democrats who voted against Obama have a diffuse unhappiness with the state of affairs in the country whereas the Republicans unhappy with Romney actually wanted a different nominee.

Opposition to Same-Sex Marriage Collapses     Permalink

Joe Biden's announcement that he was OK with same-sex marriage may have pushed President Obama into seconding the motion a bit earlier than he had planned, but it doesn't appear to be hurting him politically. An NBC/WSJ poll shows that 17% of the voters are more likely to vote for Obama as a consequence of his announcement vs. 20% who are more likely to vote for Romney. Furthermore, Obama's announcement is driving public opinion. A new WaPo/ABC News poll shows that 53% of Americans now think same-sex marriage should be legal while only 39% now say it should be illegal. This is the lowest rate of disapproval ever recorded.

What is truly amazing is that to a large extent, Bush's Brain, Karl Rove, made the Republican opposition to gay marriage one of the pillars of the 2000 and 2004 campaigns. That was not so long ago and now the Republicans are completely silent on the issue. After Obama gave his interview, no high-profile Republican went on the air to denounce him. The electoral potency of the issue is completely gone, and in a historically short time.

Thanks to All the Beta Testers     Permalink

Yesterday morning I posted a request for some people to test the newly designed Website. The response was overwhelming so I quickly took down the request. The responses are pouring in now. I don't have time to respond to everyone individually, but I will read them all carefully, fix errors and make changes where there is a clear consensus. Again, thank you.

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Previous headlines

May22 Arkansas and Kentucky Hold Primaries Today
May22 Obama and Cory Booker Continue to Squabble
May22 Hawaii Pushing Back on the Arizona Secretary of State's Request for Obama's Birth Certificate
May22 A Few Good Testers Needed for the New Website
May16 Fischer Upsets Bruning in Nebraska Senatorial Primary
May16 Romney, now unopposed, Wins Oregon and Nebraska Primaries
May16 Pollsters See Response Rates Tumble
May16 Redesign of this Site Progressing
May15 Ron Paul Suspends His Campaign
May15 Primaries Today in Nebraska and Oregon
May15 Obama Starts Getting Nasty
May10 Obama Supports Same-Sex Marriage
May09 Redesign of This Site to be Launched Soon
May09 Tea Party Candidate Crushes Lugar in Indiana Senate Primary
May09 Barrett Wins Democratic Gubernatorial Primary for Wisconsin Recall Election
May09 North Carolina Voters Ban Same-Sex Marriages Again
May09 Romney Wins in Indiana, North Carolina, and West Virginia
May08 Indiana, North Carolina, and West Virginia Vote Today
May08 Key Senate Primary Today in Indiana
May08 North Carolina Votes on Gay Marriage and Civil Unions Today
May08 Obama's Reelection Campaign Begins with 5 million ad buy in Swing States
May03 Gingrich Quits--Really
May03 Initial Analysis of the Presidential General Election
Apr28 Sarah Palin Endorses Richard Mourdock, for Senate in Indiana
Apr28 Sarah Palin Endorses Richard Mourdock for Senate in Indiana
Dec31 Romney Sweeps all Five Northeast Primaries
Dec31 Tom Smith Wins Pennsylvania GOP Senatorial Primary
Dec31 Critz Defeats Altmire in Pennsylvania Democratic House Primary
Apr25 Romney Sweeps all Five Northeast Primaries
Apr25 Tom Smith Wins Pennsylvania GOP Senatorial Primary
Apr25 Critz Defeats Altmire in Pennsylvania Democratic House Primary
Apr16 Three Republican Senate Seats Up for Grabs
Apr11 Santorum Quits Race
Apr10 Competitive Races for Democratic Senate Seats
Apr04 Romney Wins a Tripleheader
Apr04 Obama to Run Against Ryan
Apr03 Romney Advisors Trying to Decide Whether to Unleash the Candidate
Apr03 Primaries in D.C., Maryland, and Wisconsin Today
Apr03 Federal Mandates Have Been Around for over 200 Years
Mar30 Supreme Court Could Become an Election Issue