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Fischer Upsets Bruning in Nebraska Senatorial Primary     Permalink

In a surprise, come-from-behind victory, Deb Fischer defeated Attorney General Jon Bruning and Treasurer Don Stenberg to win the Republican senatorial nomination to face former senator Bob Kerrey in November. Bruning, the establishment candidate, was leading in the polls until the very end, but Fischer surged in the final days and pulled off a 10,000 vote win in a low-turnout election. Her surge may have been partly due to a late endorsement by Sarah Palin, although the real tea party candidate in the race was Stenberg. Fischer is a member of the Nebraska's unicameral legislature. If elected, Fischer would be the state's second female senator. Eva Bowring (R) represented the state in the Senate for 6 months in 1954, when she was appointed to fill the vacancy caused by the death of Sen. Dwight Griswold.

Nebraska's Senate seat is currently open due to the retirement of Sen. Ben Nelson (D-NE). In a way, this race is now like the one in Indiana, in which a fairly far right insurgent Republican snatched the nomination from a somewhat moderate establishment Republican and now faces a conservative Democrat in a red state. What was certainly a slam dunk win for the Republicans in Nebraska, as in Indiana, will now be a competitive race, with lots of money flowing in from outside the state. Pretty much everyone in Washington had conceded the Republicans were going to pick up this seat (and hold Indiana), but those calculations have now been completely upset.

Romney, now unopposed, Wins Oregon and Nebraska Primaries     Permalink

Now that Mitt Romney has no opponents left, he should have gotten close to 100% of the vote in the Oregon and Nebraska primaries yesterday. He didn't. Voters who knew he was going to be the nominee nevertheless voted against him, anyway, as a protest. Thus he has to continue to spend time courting conservative voters in his own party at the time he needs to be pivoting and trying to erase the memories of the conservative positions he took during the past few months. Here are the results of yesterday's elections.

State Romney Santorum Paul Gingrich
Nebraska 71% 14% 10% 5%
Oregon 73% 9% 12% 6%

Pollsters See Response Rates Tumble     Permalink

When pollsters call, people hang up. A new study by the Pew Research Center shows that fewer than 1 in 10 people called are willing and able to complete the interview when pollsters call. Nevertheless, the results are apparently not skewed as both Democrats and Republicans have an equal dislike of being called. For pollsters who use live interviewers, having to call 10 people to get one valid response raises costs enormously. Clearly the future is robopollsters like PPP, Rasmussen, and SurveyUSA, since their computers don't get discouraged when someone refuses to cooperate..

Redesign of this Site Progressing     Permalink

This Website is in the processing of being redesigned. It is a slow process, as is anything involving software, but hopefully will be ready by early June. Then we will start tracking the electoral college on a daily basis.

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Previous headlines

May15 Ron Paul Suspends His Campaign
May15 Primaries Today in Nebraska and Oregon
May15 Obama Starts Getting Nasty
May10 Obama Supports Same-Sex Marriage
May09 Redesign of This Site to be Launched Soon
May09 Tea Party Candidate Crushes Lugar in Indiana Senate Primary
May09 Barrett Wins Democratic Gubernatorial Primary for Wisconsin Recall Election
May09 North Carolina Voters Ban Same-Sex Marriages Again
May09 Romney Wins in Indiana, North Carolina, and West Virginia
May08 Indiana, North Carolina, and West Virginia Vote Today
May08 Key Senate Primary Today in Indiana
May08 North Carolina Votes on Gay Marriage and Civil Unions Today
May08 Obama's Reelection Campaign Begins with 5 million ad buy in Swing States
May03 Gingrich Quits--Really
May03 Initial Analysis of the Presidential General Election
Apr28 Sarah Palin Endorses Richard Mourdock, for Senate in Indiana
Apr28 Sarah Palin Endorses Richard Mourdock for Senate in Indiana
Dec31 Romney Sweeps all Five Northeast Primaries
Dec31 Tom Smith Wins Pennsylvania GOP Senatorial Primary
Dec31 Critz Defeats Altmire in Pennsylvania Democratic House Primary
Apr25 Romney Sweeps all Five Northeast Primaries
Apr25 Tom Smith Wins Pennsylvania GOP Senatorial Primary
Apr25 Critz Defeats Altmire in Pennsylvania Democratic House Primary
Apr16 Three Republican Senate Seats Up for Grabs
Apr11 Santorum Quits Race
Apr10 Competitive Races for Democratic Senate Seats
Apr04 Romney Wins a Tripleheader
Apr04 Obama to Run Against Ryan
Apr03 Romney Advisors Trying to Decide Whether to Unleash the Candidate
Apr03 Primaries in D.C., Maryland, and Wisconsin Today
Apr03 Federal Mandates Have Been Around for over 200 Years
Mar30 Supreme Court Could Become an Election Issue
Mar27 Lose to Win?
Mar25 Santorum Continues His Southern Winning Streak in Louisiana
Mar25 Can Romney Clear the Etch a Sketch?
Mar24 Santorum Headed for Win in Louisiana Primary Today
Mar24 Club for Growth Buying Airtime Against Lugar
Mar21 Romney Wins Illinois by 12%
Mar21 Maine Senate Race Candidates Now Known
Mar20 Romney Expected to Win Illinois Primary Today