Dem 50
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Ties 2
GOP 48
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New polls: AZ GA NY OH UT
Dem pickups vs. 2020 Senate: PA
GOP pickups vs. 2020 Senate : (None)
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TODAY'S HEADLINES (click to jump there; use your browser's "Back" button to return here)
      •  Today's Senate Polls

Sorry, folks. One of us is traveling, and the other is stuck in the ER with a leg injury. Neither situation is life-threatening, but neither situation lends itself to writing 5,000 words right now. We will definitely do a write-up of yesterday's rather explosive 1/6 committee hearing. Either it will be later today or we will push Friday's post to Saturday. We'll post an update here once we know more... (Z)

5:59 PT Update: As you probably figured out, (V) is the one who is traveling, and (Z) is the one who was in the ER. Note the verb tense of that sentence; (Z) was just discharged.

Exactly what happened is... well, something of a mystery. (Z) tries, and usually is able, to walk at least 10,000 steps per day. At approximately 11:45 p.m. last night, he walked to the store to pick up the final 1,000 steps needed for the day. This trip was uneventful. An hour later, while working on the blog, he felt a slight twinge in his right knee. An hour after that, which is to say around 2:00 a.m. ET, he could no longer bend that knee and could barely walk. Since he has had blood clots in his legs in the past, he headed to the ER.

In an effort to give it the old college try, (Z) took his laptop to the ER to try to get the day's posting done. However, they could not provide a table or a desk for his use. Further, they wrapped his left index finger in a device that monitors pulse. Trying to do the blog one-handed, with laptop perched perilously on a knee that's already in pain? Not so plausible. The single paragraph above, which is just 77 words, took 15 minutes to hammer out.

The doctor's diagnosis, when it came, was... rather vague. He described it as a "soft-tissue injury," and said there was nothing more he could do, and nothing more specific he could say. So, he gave (Z) a dose of painkillers, and sent him home with a knee brace, a pair of crutches, and an order to keep the knee immobile for a week. (Z) is sure as crap not going to cancel a week of lectures, so he'll have to find a solution to that problem by Monday. His first-ever lectures from a seated position are very likely.

It is not currently plausible for (Z) to complete the post now, loaded up with painkillers. This is not Breitbart; we need to be able to actually think. It will get finished eventually, but maybe not in time to be useful today. So, there is a very good chance that, as predicted, it will get pushed to Saturday.

In that event, we would appreciate your feedback on the Sunday post at the bottom of this page:

Today's Senate Polls

Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ) and Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA) are still ahead, but not by so much. What is very strange, though, is that a new poll has Evan McMullin (I) ahead of Sen, Mike Lee (R-UT). We find that very unlikely, but we'll see if it sticks. (V)

State Democrat D % Republican R % Start End Pollster
Arizona Mark Kelly* 46% Blake Masters 42% Oct 11 Oct 11 InsiderAdvantage
Georgia Raphael Warnock* 49% Herschel Walker 46% Oct 08 Oct 11 Civiqs
New York Chuck Schumer* 52% Joe Pinion 39% Oct 03 Oct 06 Marist Coll.
Ohio Tim Ryan 45% J.D. Vance 46% Oct 06 Oct 07 Emerson Coll.
Utah Evan McMullin (I) 49% Mike Lee* 43% Oct 08 Oct 11 Hill Research

* Denotes incumbent



Thanks for your patience! (Z)


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