Undemocratic: It's Been a Rocky Week for Voting Rights

On Wednesday, the Supreme Court killed the last substantive part of the Voting Rights Act. Yesterday, it was outrage from the commentariat. A selection:

Kim Wehle, The Bulwark: "[T]he Court picked a favored outcome then contorted (you might even say gerrymandered) the law to fit it, all while ignoring the history of the post-Civil War Amendments to the Constitution and Congress's unequivocal and overwhelmingly bipartisan goals in passing the Voting Rights Act in the first place. Worse still, the justices are probably not finished disemboweling the country's decades-long legacy of remedying generations of racial injustice."

Josh Marshall, TPM: "It's a good day to return to the question of the Supreme Court's corruption and the necessity of reforming it in order to make democratic self-government possible again in the United States."

Joan Biskupic, CNN: "The decision also marks a defining moment for the court under Chief Justice John Roberts, who declared soon after joining the bench in 2005, 'the way to stop discrimination on the basis of race is to stop discriminating on the basis of race.' Three years ago, the justices by the same 6-3 vote as Wednesday ended racial affirmative action in higher education admissions."

Richard Hasen, Slate: "So what's to be done? The Supreme Court itself has shown itself to be the enemy of democracy. If and when Democrats retake control of the political branches, it will be incumbent on them not only to write new voting legislation protecting minority voters and all voters in the ability to participate fairly in elections that reflect the will of all the people; they will also have to consider reform of the Supreme Court itself, a conclusion I had been resisting until the court made this unavoidable."

Civil Rights Movement activist Andrew Young: "The Supreme Court will go to hell."

The recurrent theme, through most of the pieces, is that the Supreme Court is badly broken. This is not a secret to readers of this site; the question is if enough voters will take notice so as to demand some sort of reform. It's certainly possible that we might have reached a turning point. In particular, we think it's safe to guess that many minority voters will notice that they used to have officeholders who looked like them, and now they have officeholders who definitely do not.

Already, some Southern states are getting down to business, and taking advantage of the opportunities afforded by the Court's ruling. Louisiana is now required to redraw its maps. Since that state's primaries were already underway, they could have gotten away with waiting until the next election cycle. But the Republicans who run the Bayou State don't want to wait. So, they have paused the Louisiana primaries until a new map can be implemented.

Meanwhile, over in Florida, the special session of the legislature called by Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) approved the new map, which was apparently drawn with an expectation that the Supreme Court would be rewriting the rules. The Florida map is going to be contested in court, because it may violate state law, but for now there are only four blue districts in the Sunshine State.

Mississippi governor Tate Reeves (R) has called a special session of his state's legislature, and Alabama, South Carolina and Tennessee are all kicking the idea around. Likely, some states will decide it's too late for 2026, but it will be full speed ahead for 2028. That means that angry voters will really have two opportunities to express their disapproval, and to communicate the lesson that they would like to see changes made at the Supreme Court. (Z)

The 2026 Elections: Janet Mills Throws in the Towel

There have been four polls of the Maine Democratic Senate primary in the past month. Here they are:

Pollster	Janet Mills	Graham Platner	Net
Workbench Strategy	29%	64%	Platner +35%
Maine People's Resource Center	28%	61%	Platner +33%
Emerson College	28%	55%	Platner +27%
Impact Research	28%	66%	Platner +38%

Three of those pollsters (all but Emerson) are Democratic houses. So, it is at least possible that the story that the numbers tell is a false one. But it would take an awful lot of squinting to make it so. First of all, even partisan pollsters try to be accurate, particularly in the primaries, because they want to sell their polling services. Second, it would take an unbelievable amount of incompetence and/or manipulation to produce results this lopsided. Third, Emerson is not only NOT a Democratic house, its results lean Republican. And yet, even they see a blowout in the offing.

Gov. Janet Mills (D-ME) did not apparently have much enthusiasm about serving in the U.S. Senate, which is why Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) had to twist her arm to get her in. She is also 78, and might just prefer a well-earned retirement, as opposed to participating in the bloodsport that is Washington, DC, until she's in her mid-80s (or 90s). And she can certainly read polls as well as anyone (and so too can her donors). And so, with 5 weeks left until the primary, and with this kind of headwinds, Mills withdrew from the race yesterday.

That means that it's going to be Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) versus oysterman-turned-politician Graham Platner (D). If voters in Maine wanted a choice, well, they've got one. Collins is an establishment Republican, is in her 70s, has vast political experience, and has the kind of "flexibility" that has allowed her to (generally) walk the ultra-fine line between "increasingly blue state" and "party controlled by Donald Trump." Platner is an upstart populist Democrat, is in his 40s, has no political experience, and has both far more principles and far more baggage than Collins. If the story of the 2026 midterms is "throw the Republican bums out" and also "new blood for the Democrats"—and that could very well be the story—then Platner will be the poster child for all of it.

Because Collins vs. Platner was the likely general election matchup, there's actually been a fair bit of polling already. Here are the four conducted in the last month

Pollster	Susan Collins	Graham Platner	Net
Echelon Insights	45%	51%	Platner +6%
Maine People's Resource Center	39%	48%	Platner +9%
Emerson College	41%	48%	Platner +7%
OnMessage Public Strategies	42%	44%	Platner +2%

In contrast to the previous list, we have one Democratic house here (Maine People's Resource Center, again), one nonpartisan house with a Republican-leaning house effect (Emerson) and two Republican houses. Platner is the leader in all four, and the one that's closest is also the one that is oldest. In other words, Platner's lead is real, by all indications. On top of that, by virtue of 30 years in the U.S. Senate, Collins has near-universal recognition. We don't know exactly what the "undecideds" might be waiting for, but whatever it is, it's not "I'd like to learn more about Susan Collins." Given all of this, the Senator is undoubtedly—say it with us—concerned.

We are trying to think of what her best hope is here. Certainly, in Collins' last Senate race, the polls were not good for her, and she still won. So, she might be telling herself that there's nothing to worry about here. However, Maine is bluer than it was 6 years ago, while 2020 was a presidential year with some Donald Trump coattails for Collins to ride, and "throw the bums out" was nowhere as powerful a sentiment as it is now.

We would actually say her best hope is that there's still a long ways to go, and the less-experienced Platner might put his foot in his mouth, or might have another skeleton emerge from his closet (in addition to the Nazi tattoo and the offensive social media postings). This said, we're just spitballing here, and the facts are that: (1) Platner has run a sharp, disciplined campaign, and (2) He's enough of a rockstar that his sins seem to be forgiven almost instantly. In several very important ways, Platner is the correct answer to the question: "What would a left-wing version of Donald Trump look like?"

Besides Mills, the other big loser of the day yesterday was Schumer. His handpicked, heavily recruited candidate got run out of the race in humiliating fashion. He's a good party man, so he's already switched his endorsement to Platner (as has his junior colleague, Kirsten Gillibrand). However, if the time has come for the old guard to step aside (or to be pushed aside), well, Schumer is the old guardiest Democrat of all, at least now that Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) has stepped down from the speakership. If Platner wins, or even if he keeps it close, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) is coming for Schumer when his seat is up in 2028.

There is one other Democrat—at least, we think he's still a Democrat—who lamented the demise of Mills, albeit for different reasons. We speak, of course, of Sen. John Fetterman of Pennsylvania. In an interview yesterday, Fetterman told NOTUS:

Democrats really, really like Platner in Maine, but the Republicans fucking love him. If Maine wants an asshole with a Nazi tattoo on his chest, they get him.

As a reminder, if a public official says something on the record, we do not censor their words.

Fetterman obviously did not intend that as a compliment, but the careful reader will notice that "this guy can keep the Democrats on board AND get Republican votes" is music to most Democrats' ears. In fact, it's hard to imagine a better political argument for supporting Platner. Meanwhile, Platner is undoubtedly devastated that he doesn't have Fetterman's support especially since, last we checked, Pennsylvanians can't vote in Maine.

Too bad a primary that was probably going to be boring will now definitely be boring. But the general election will be a barnburner, so that makes up for it and then some. (Z)

In Congress: A Contentious Day in the District of Columbia

Congress does not seem to do very much these days. And yet, they jammed in a whole week's worth of news yesterday. So, we're going to do this in capsule form:

We Surrender: DHS was about to run out of the money that was being used to fund some operations while the overall department was shut down. This would have had deleterious effects, especially heading into summer travel season. And it was pretty clear that Republicans were going to get the blame. So yesterday, after many weeks of saying they would not pass any DHS bill until the Senate passed a reconciliation bill with money for ICE and CBP, the House passed a DHS bill.

Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) & Co. are now counting on the Senate to do their part, and lavish money on ICE/CBP via reconciliation. That may or may not happen, since there are many Republican members who want goodies in the reconciliation bill, and a Republican president who wants stuff completely unrelated to the budget, and that will never survive a Byrd Bath, in the bill. As to the bill funding DHS, sans ICE/CBP, it has already been signed into law by Donald Trump. The 75 days that DHS was shut down is a record, by about a month.

MAHA Wins Some...: A lot of readers were not happy about the item we ran yesterday, "MAHA Moms Are Furious," because we wrote that studies support the conclusion that glyphosate is carcinogenic. Here are a couple of representative responses:

M.D.A. in Salt Lake City, UT, writes: I emailed about this earlier, but did not see any change. In fact, there have been multiple glyphosate-bashing articles lately. Can you please read this article? Maybe I was dismissed as a random tin-foiler, but hopefully this can convince you the science is stronger saying glyphosate is better than you present. I'm not a farmer, not a MAHA, just a believer in science.

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T.F. in Lovettsville, VA, writes: I am wowed by your grasp on nearly every topic but have a bone to pick on your handling of glyphosate. Quoting from the EPA website on the topic: "In February 2020, after receiving and considering public comments on the glyphosate proposed interim decision, EPA published the interim decision registration review decision (ID) for glyphosate. As part of this action, EPA found that there are no risks of concern to human health when glyphosate is used in accordance with its current label. EPA also found that glyphosate is unlikely to be a human carcinogen."

Subsequently, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit overturned the EPA decision, but not because they found error in the conclusion that glyphosate is a carcinogen for people but that EPA had erred in not applying requirements from the Endangered Species Act in its decision. The Court did not find that glyphosate was dangerous to any endangered species, just that EPA had not adequately addressed the matter.

Your cited article, while from a scholarly source, contains no citations to support their many assertions. I'm thinking any student submitting a paper for review would not be judged highly for including such a reference.

We took another look today and, by and large, European regulators—who tend to be more cautious—are hostile to glyphosate. American regulators (like the EPA)—who tend to be a bit more laissez-faire—largely take the position that glyphosate is OK if used properly. Seems that "if used properly" could be doing some heavy lifting there.

In any event, whether glyphosate is carcinogenic is actually secondary to our point. The debate is dividing MAGA, because MAHA hates glyphosate but farmers like it. At the same time, there is an opportunity there, with some finesse, for Democrats to portray themselves as supporters of public safety, as compared to Republicans and their Big Chem buddies like glyphosate-maker Bayer. As readers will know, sometimes effective messaging is not 100% honest, and sometimes 100% honest messaging is not effective.

However, this particular issue is in abeyance for now, because a coalition of House Republicans and Democrats voted yesterday, 280-142, to strip the Bayer-friendly language from the farm bill that was before that chamber. The bill itself was then passed, 224-200. So, if Trump wants to make it easier to sell glyphosate in America, he's going to have to find another way to do it.

...And MAHA Loses Some: At around the same time MAHA was getting their way on the glyphosate front, they were taking a loss on the surgeon general front. There are just shy of 1.1 million doctors in the U.S., so you would think it would not be too hard to find one of them capable of serving as surgeon general. But apparently it is, because the post has been vacant for 450 days and counting.

Trump's first nominee for the job was Dr. Janette Nesheiwat, who would seem to have the minimum requirement wanted by the American people, namely that she is actually a practicing physician, and the minimum requirement wanted by Trump, namely that she has been a Fox contributor. However, she apparently wasn't RightThink enough for Laura Loomer, and Loomer managed to get Trump to withdraw the nomination.

Trump's second nominee was Casey Means. Some outlets refer to her as Dr. Casey Means, because she did go to medical school. However, she did not finish her residency, and she is not licensed to practice medicine. Instead, she's built a lucrative career selling woo. She is best known for the book Good Energy: The Surprising Connection Between Metabolism and Limitless Health, in which she declares that the secret to both "good" energy and "bad" energy in the body is your midichlorians. No, wait, that's the secret to being in tune with the Force. Means' secret is mitochondria. That's it. The book has been savaged by actual science writers. Naturally, MAHA loves both the book and its author.

In an effort to please the base and/or Loomer, Trump chose Means as the replacement nominee for Nesheiwat. That was on May 7, 2025. In other words, it's been almost A FULL YEAR. The Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor and Pensions dragged its feet and dragged its feet and dragged its feet, desperately hoping Trump would get the message. But he didn't, so yesterday Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) finally spelled it out for him (and she didn't even use a picture of a cow, or a ski, to do it). A member of the Senate Health Committee, Murkowski made clear that Means would not have her vote to advance to the floor of the Senate. That is unrecoverable, nearly all the time. The Senate rarely approves a nominee who couldn't get past the relevant committee.

So, Means is out, and Trump has now moved on to his third nominee: Dr. Nicole Saphier. She's a real doctor, who practices at a real hospital, Memorial Sloan Kettering. She's also MAHA, and even wrote a book, Make America Healthy Again: How Bad Behavior and Big Government Caused a Trillion Dollar Crisis. And, critically, she is a Fox contributor. Unknown is how Laura Loomer feels about Saphier. We'll find out in the next week or so, we suppose.

During one of her Fox appearances, Saphier declared:

I could really care less if the president can touch his toes. It's very disingenuous that they continue to not mention his mental acuity and not giving him a full cognitive evaluation. They completely leave that out and any 80-year-old man is supposed to be having one at his physicals.

Of course, she was talking about Joe Biden at the time. That said, we have no doubt that she still stands by this, and she certainly wouldn't change her considered medical opinion for petty political reasons.

Incidentally, Trump turns 80 in 6 weeks.

Isn't It Iran-ic: Donald Trump ran on "America First," and the single most important principle of America First is "no foreign wars." And now, he's become a bigger war hawk than John McCain. The Senate voted on yet another war powers resolution yesterday, one that would rein in Trump's war in Iran. The vote failed, 47-50, with Susan Collins and Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) crossing the aisle in one direction and John Fetterman crossing the aisle in the other.

So, a (small) Trump crisis has been averted for now. But a different one is looming. The bombing of Iran began on February 28. That is 63 days ago. The War Powers Act requires presidents to seek Congressional authorization (which isn't forthcoming) or to wind down operations within 60 days. However, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and Mike Johnson both had the same answer to that yesterday: Since there are no bullets flying right now, the clock has stopped. Undoubtedly, the Iranian ships being blockaded right now would be surprised to learn there are currently no active hostilities.

In fairness, Barack Obama made the exact same argument in 2011, while the U.S. was involved in Libya. So, the lesson here is not that Hegseth and Johnson are mealymouthed sycophants who will say whatever they need to say to keep their Dear Leader happy. They are, but the lesson here is that the War Powers Act is a colossal failure that has never, ever worked as intended. Trying to fix that is another thing for Congress' to do list once it gets new leadership. Well, OK, once it gets any leadership.

Incidentally, while Hegseth and Johnson were decreeing that peace in Iran is imminent (or is upon us), Trump was on TV claiming that the war is won, and the only reason the U.S. is still in Iran is "I want to win by a bigger margin." If even one more soldier dies, we certainly hope that some reporter will be bold enough to ask Trump: "Was it worth [SOLDIER X'S] life, so that you could run up the score?"

#MeToo: Thanks to reader L.R.H. in Oakland, CA, who sent in this late-breaking news. Yet another member of Congress has been accused of being a sleazeball, and sexually harassing his staffers. It's Rep. Chuck Edwards (R-NC), who is now being investigated by the House Ethics Committee. Nobody knows how long it will take the Ethics Committee to reach a decision, but everybody knows that this is not a good time, politically, to be associated with this particular misdeed. And in case you are wondering, Edwards' district, NC-11, is R+5. That pretty much guarantees Republicans will not expel him.

So, they were pretty busy on the Hill yesterday. (Z)

I Read the News Today, Oh Boy: Eddie Money Wrote the "Two Tickets to Paradise" Riff

It is, of course, not uncommon for pop and rock stars to write their music. But the riff at the start of the 1970s rock hit "Two Tickets to Paradise" is a little unusual because it is played on guitar, and was written by a non-guitarist. Eddie Money's instruments were the sax and the harmonica, primarily.

We had two hints as to last week's headline theme. The first was: "we think Pope Leo XIV would approve." The second was: "we'll tell you that a fair number of people have guessed something like 'religious symbols.' That's close, but it's not right. And it may help to know that the original headline for the first item was 'The Iran War: What a Sh** Show.' But we changed it because we thought that was unnecessarily vulgar."

And here is the solution, courtesy of reader D.H. in Leesburg, AL:

Sh** this was a good one! All headlines work with the word "Holy":

• Iran: The War Is Not Going Well
• Redistricting Wars: Republicans Didn't See This Coming
• Legal News: Blanche Wants to Throw the Book at the SPLC
• Today in Marxism: Trump Administration Is Considering an Ownership Stake in Spirit Airlines
• I Read the News Today, Oh Boy: Vulcan Was Inspired by the Roman Emperor Nero
• This Week in Schadenfreude: Gold Card Program Is Going up in Smoke
• This Week in Freudenfreude: Clan of the Fiery Cross

Thanks, team!

Pope Leo definitely likes holy things. And Holy Money is a somewhat well known experimental music album by Swans, so that covers this item's headline.

Here are the first 60 readers to get it right:

N.H. in London, England, UK R.S. in Landing, NJ K.G.W. in Lafayette, IN M.W. in Altea, Spain N.K. in Cleveland Heights, OH A.O'N. in Wiesbaden, Hesse, Germany T.K. in Half Moon Bay, St. Kitts A.C. in Kingston, MA J.N. in Zionsville, IN C.W. in Atlantic Beach, FL E.W. in Skaneateles, NY D.L. in Springfield, IL M.S. in Canton, NY S.K. in Ardmore, PA D.D. in Bucks County, PA E.P. in Windham, CT D.P. in Minneapolis, MN J.E. in Gilbertsville, PA E.S. in Providence, RI B.U. in St. Louis, MO M.H. in Ottawa, ON, Canada R.S. in Milan, OH P.A. in Redwood City, CA D.E. in High Springs, FL J.M.R. in Muncie, IN J.H. in Pittsburgh, PA B.A. in Edmond, OK R.B. in Amherst, MA M.K. in Maplewood, NJ S.S. in Lucerne, Switzerland

M.P. in Chapel Hill, NC D.F. in Vancouver, BC, Canada M.K. in Seattle, WA M.B. in Albany, NY K.J. in Toronto, ON, Canada H.B. in State College, PA J.Y. in London, England, UK D.M. in Seattle, WA M.M. in Wylie, TX D.H. Leesburg B.H. in Sherman Oaks, CA D.K. in Chicago, IL S.L. in Glendora, CA P.H. in Ft. Lauderdale, FL B.N. in San Rafael, CA A.D. in Vass, NC B.A. in Sioux Falls, SD D.F. in San Diego, CA N.G. in Chicago, IL M.S. in Scranton, PA I.C. in Seattle, WA J.J. in Paris, France C.B.G. in Tucson, AZ L.G. in New York City, NY P.P. in Montreal, QC, Canada M.M. in Gary, IN R.P. in Chicago, IL S.S. in Tustin, CA A.D. in London, England, UK J.T. in The Villages, FL

The 60th correct response was received at 10:30 p.m. PT on Sunday.

For this week's theme, it relies on one word per headline, and it's in the category Movies. For a hint, we'll say that anyone who is Transylvanian has a big edge today. Well, except for Dracula, because it has nothing to do with him.

If you have a guess, send it to comments@electoral-vote.com with subject line May 1 Headlines. (Z)

This Week in Schadenfreude: LIV Golf Enters Its Magenta Period

Some people do not like LIV Golf, the rival to the PGA Tour, because it is funded by blood money from the Saudis. Others do not like LIV Golf because it's been embraced warmly by Donald Trump, whose golf courses have played host to a sizable percentage of the tour's American events. Still others say: "Why do I have to choose? I hate LIV Golf for both reasons."

The LIV Golf anti-fans, of which there are many, got some good news in the last week or so. It turns out that the wheels are coming off the tour, which is hemorrhaging money. Although it developed a moderate fanbase in some places (South Africa, Australia, South Korea), it never caught on in the United States. And it also never managed to land a TV contract with any meaningful value. And so, the Saudis have announced they're pulling their money at the end of this season. LIV might possibly survive as some sort of boutique tour—maybe it could be the official golf tour of the boutique social media site Truth Social. But its days as a David trying to slay the PGA Goliath are over.

Even back when LIV golf started—and we wrote about it at the time—it was hard to understand what "success" would look like, or how it could ever be in reach. The star golfers the tour recruited, like Brooks Koepka, Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm, were being paid absolutely exorbitant salaries, in line with an NFL quarterback, not a player in an upstart golf league. There just aren't enough golf fans out there to support that.

What that meant was that the difference between "what the league takes in" and "what the league costs" was being covered by the Saudi Public Investment Fund. That made LIV an exercise in PR—or, to use a more instructive term, sportswashing. But we never really understood how that was supposed to work, either. How was a niche golf tour supposed to change a substantial number of hearts and minds in the U.S. and elsewhere? And, if so, to what end? Frankly, a much cheaper PR move would have been to NOT kill Jamal Khashoggi in brutal fashion. Once that ship had sailed, well, it seems pretty clear that the Saudis figured out the $2 billion they gave to First Son-in-Law Jared Kushner to manage, while paying him a grossly above-market rate for his "services," was a way better investment than the $5 billion they blew through on their golf scheme.

As a bonus, the star players that LIV recruited are, by and large, world-class a**holes. The PGA offered a small handful of LIV stars the opportunity to return, but with significant penalties. Koepka took the deal, the others did not. And now, the PGA will be the only game in town, and will have all the cards. So, DeChambeau, Rahm, et al., are gonna have to dance if they want to return.

Meanwhile, it's yet another entry for the lengthy list entitled "Everything Donald Trump touches turns to ash." (Z)

This Week in Freudenfreude: To Be Frank, It's About Time

The South may rise again. But if it's going to do so, it will have to pay its taxes first.

In the years after the Civil War, the two most important lobbying groups in the South were the Sons of Confederate Veterans (SCV) and the United Daughters of the Confederacy (UDC). The latter was particularly important, as it had the largest number of members, and the highest amount of organizational discipline. If you've ever seen a statue honoring some Confederate—anywhere in the country—there is at least a 90% chance it was commissioned by the UDC. The organization was also, alongside the Southern Historical Society (SHS), the leading player in promoting the "Lost Cause" ideology of the Civil War. And in case you are wondering, Margaret Mitchell was not a UDC member, but she DID get a special citation from the organization:

The Daughters were just thrilled, of course, by Mitchell's magnum opus, Gone with the Wind. Presumably, they were impressed by its commitment to historical accuracy. We can't imagine any other reason the UDC would like the book.

Because the UDC, the SCV, the SHS and these other groups wielded enormous political influence, they were able to wangle tax-exempt status. Apparently, in being dedicated to keeping the memory of insurrectionists alive, they were performing a public service. This would seem to be good news for anyone looking to start a group dedicated to the 1/6 insurrection. The tax breaks have allowed the Virginia UDC, which should really be something like the UGGGGDC these days, to build up a tidy bankroll north of $15 million.

But now, in the Old Dominion State at least, the tax breaks have come to an end. Gov. Abigail Spanberger (D-VA) just signed into law HB167, which ends the tax-exempt status of Confederate heritage groups. So, if someone wants to honor violent, white supremacist insurrectionists, they will have to do it on their own dime. Or, buy a Trump Bible—whichever's easier. At the same time, Spanberger signed into law a bill that discontinues license plates featuring the UDC and Robert E. Lee. Now, just create some U.S. Grant license plates, and we're in business, Madame Governor.

The Lost Cause narrative of the Civil War has lingered for a long time. But now, with the sesquicentennial of the war in the rear-view mirror, it looks like the Lost Cause's days may be numbered, no matter how hard Donald Trump and Pete Hegseth might try to resist.

Have a good weekend, all! (Z)

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